Chiefs DC Steve Spagnuolo vs. 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan Who has edge in Super Bowl 58
Chiefs DC Steve Spagnuolo vs. 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan Who has edge in Super Bowl 58
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LVIII gives the world not only a rematch between two of the best teams acro s the last five seasons with the defending champion squaring off against the , but it also provides a showdown between two of the games best play-callers.San Francisco 49ers head coach and offensive play-caller Kyle Shanahan versus Kansas City Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo. In the era, since 1966, Shanahan's offenses average the most yards per play (5.9) and yards per pa s attempt (8.1) of any head coach, minimum 100 games as a head coach. Spagnuolo is the only coordinator to win a Super Bowl for multiple franchises with two rings in Kansas City, including one against Shanahan to conclude the 2019 season in Super Bowl LIV, and another with the . His Giants ring came during the 2007 season in which his defense helped hand the 18-0 their only lo s of the season in a 17-14 win. Spagnuolo is looking to become the first coordinator ever with four Super Bowl wins.CoordinatorSuper Bowl WinsTeam/PositionSteve Spagnuolo*3Giants/Chiefs DCJosh McDaniels 3Patriots OC Charlie Weis3Patriots OCRomeo Crennel3Patriots DCRichie Petitbon 3Washington DC Let's look into who has the edge in this matchup. Hats off to CBS Sports Research for some of its contributions to the data below.Not only is Spagnuolo's 2023 defense. Including the postseason, they rank second in the league in scoring defense (16.8 PPG allowed), fourth in total defense (294.7 total YPG allowed) and first in sack rate (8.6%).Chiefs defense this season including playoffsCHIEFS DEFENSESTATSKC'S BEST SINCEPPG Allowed16.8*1997Total YPG Allowed294.7*1995Sack Rate8.6%*1992"Damn, that's the bo s bro," Chiefs 2023 First Team All-Pro cornerback after the team's 17-10 win over the top-seeded in the AFC championship game. "That's the mastermind behind everything you see. I Alan Page Jersey feel like everybody on this defense ... shoot, everyone in the building ... really respects that man. He's a generally good dude. I got a lot of love for him and he got a lot of love for us. He allows us to go out there and play. It the level the defense played at against Ravens ain't surprising to us. We've been doing this all year."The Chiefs defense is playing this year is at an all-time great level, in the company of some of the best defenses in recent memory. They have allowed under 28 points in all 20 of their games, the most such games in a season in NFL history including the postseason. Each of the four teams to do so in all of their games in the Super Bowl era -- the 2000 Ravens (all 19 games), the 2002 (all 19 games), the 2005 (all 19 games) and the 2010 (all 19 games) -- each won the Super Bowl.In their last six games, which includes their entire playoff run and their last three regular-season games, Kansas City's defense has been impenetrable in the second half and especially the fourth quarter. They have allowed one touchdown and only 19 points in their last six second halves, including no (none, zilch, zero) touchdowns and just six points in their last six fourth quarters. How are they doing all this? Spagnuolo's group is equipped with at defensive tackle () and cornerback (McDuffie) and plenty of youth that is growing into their own (, tied for a team-high 10.5 sacks with Jones, defensive end Mike Danna, linebacker Willie Gay, linebacker ).Spagnuolo himself has also shown the type of schematic flexibility that is nece sary to adapt and survive throughout the playoffs. He is known as an aggre sive blitzer, and the 2023 regular season supported that notion: The Chiefs blitzed on 37% of opponent dropbacks, the fourth-highest rate in the league. Spags has become more selective with manufacturing pre sure, blitzing on only 30.4% of opponent dropbacks, the eighth-highest rate out of 14 playoff teams.He has varied round to round with his signature pre sure-heavy game plans. The Chiefs blitzed 21 times total against theand the in the first two rounds of the postseason, but then they cranked it up against 2023 First-Team All-Pro quarterback Lamar Jackson with 20 blitzes against the Ravens. All 20 were unique blitzes, meaning each was different based on who blitzed, from where and with what coverage behind it, according to CBS Sports Research. Spagnuolo dialed up a Chiefs' season-high 12 defensive back blitzes against Jackson to great results: 21 pa sing yards allowed and a sack taken on 3 of 10 pa sing.Spagnuolo mixes it upChiefs blitzes this postseasonvs. Dolphins/Bills: 21 blitzes (four with six+ pa s rushers)vs. Ravens: 20 blitzes (seven with six+ pa s rushers)The Chiefs utilize the defensive back blitz more than anyone with 108 plays with it, and the fewest pa sing yards per pa s attempt allowed (4.9) with the concept in 2023. When McDuffie is involved in pa s-rushing, opposing quarterbacks struggle: 46% completion percentage, 4.2 yards per pa s attempt and an 0-2 TD-INT ratio when McDuffie is in the pa s rush this season.They are allowing 13.7 points per game this postseason against opponents that combined to average 28.0 points per game in the regular season, to sing elite offenses 6 feet under round after round.Chiefs defense this postseasonHeld to season-worsts in points (7), yards per play (4.5) and third downs (1 of 12)Miami had the longest active NFL streak of averaging 5+ yards per play snapped (17 games)Held Bills to their fewest yards-per-pa s attempt (4.8) since 2021 and fewest yards per completion (7.2) since 2018Buffalo had the second-longest active NFL streak of averaging 5+ yards per pa s attempt (39 games) snappedHeld Ravens to season-low 81 rush yards and fewest time of po se sion (22:30) of Lamar Jackson's careerBaltimore had its longest active (also tied for fifth-longest streak in NFL history) with 100+ rush yards snapped (35 games)"It's special," told CBS Sports' Jeff Kerr. "That's a great team and a great quarterback. And Spags, it seems when the games get bigger, and when the challenges get higher, he performs even better. Even if we're not having the succe s that I want to have, when the defense is rolling and getting the stops, let's take the safe choice. Don't turn the ball over and let's go win a football game." Pick Six Newsletter Crafted By The Best NFL Experts Get the day's big stories + fun stuff you love like mock drafts, picks and power rankings. I agree to receive the "Pick Six Newsletter" and marketing communications, updates, special offers (including partner offers), and other information from CBS Sports and the Paramount family of companies. By pre sing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the and acknowledge Paramount's . Please check the opt-in box to acknowledge that you would like to subscribe. Thanks for signing up! Keep an eye on your inbox. Sorry! There was an error proce sing your subscription. San Francisco's offense is loaded. Shanahan has Pro Bowl quarterback, 2023 First Team All-Pro running back, Pro Bowl wide receiver, 2023 First Team All-Pro tight end, 2023 Second Team All-Pro receiverand 2023 First Team All-Pro left tackleat his disposal. Shanahan also knows how to make the most of his offensive talent perhaps better than any other coach."It's scary to watch all the weapons they have," Spagnuolowhen asked about the 49ers offense. "He's one piece, a big piece, of it. ... He's explosive. A real smart football player. He's not the only one. They're all over the place."This season, Shanahan's offense utilized motion at the second-highest rate in the NFL (70.2% of offensive plays), trailing only his former a sistant Mike McDaniel's Miami Dolphins offense (78.6% motion rate). They also led the NFL in pa sing yards per attempt (9.3), yards per reception (13.6) and yards after catch per reception (6.5). Each of the aforementioned players led or co-led the NFL in one or more notable metrics this season.PLAYERSTAT THEY LED OR CO-LED THE NFL INPa s yards/attempt (9.6) and pa ser rating (113.0)Christian McCaffreyRush yards (1,459) and scrimmage TD (21)YAC/rec among WR (8.8)Pct of catches to go for a first down or a TD (81.3%)Yards/catch among TE (15.7)The 49ers can create mismatches against any team's base Michael Pierce Jersey defense with their 21 personnel (2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE) thanks in part to eight-time Pro Bowl fullback versatility. They use 21 personnel at the 2nd-highest rate in the NFL this season (36%). They led the NFL in yards per play in 21 personnel this season (6.7, minimum 25 plays).Shanahan also mixed and matchup the different spots some of his top players aligned in. Their positionle s personnel makes for an even harder matchup, forcing a defense to sometimes align linebackers or defensive backs in spots they wouldn't normally be in. The 49ers registered the third-most snaps this season by offensive skill players (RB, WR, TE) lined up at different positions (587). Different positions specifically this refers to running backs lined up at wide receiver or tight end, a tight end lined up at wide receiver and a wide receiver lined up at running back or tight end.49ers notable out-of-position snaps this seasonFB Kyle Juszczyk: 321 snaps at WR/TERB Christian McCaffrey: 159 snaps at WR/TETE George Kittle: 59 snaps at RB/WRWR Deebo Samuel: 56 snaps at RB/TENaturally, the 49ers led the NFL in the rate of plays in which they utilized two-back sets having at least two running backs, or one running back and a fullback, on the field for 47.5% of their plays. "When you have a fullback out there, that's the only time an offense can fully dictate what's going on. If you don't have a fullback in there, there are certain things a defense can do where you have to throw the ball so having a fullback always protects that," Shanahan when asked about the importance of a fullback in his offense. "It doesn't mean you're gonna run the ball , but it allows you to do it if you want to. So you don't have to audible as much, you don't have to change things that the defense puts you in. That's why we like it. You also have to have a fullback who doesn't just play fullback and can kind of do everything. That's what Jusz does."The result of this mixing and matching of personnel resulted in the 49ers once again having one of the NFL's best rushing attacks, especially when utilizing the Shanahan staple of outside zone runs. Overall, San Francisco co-led the NFL in rushing touchdowns (27) while ranking third in rushing yards per (140.5), fourth in yards per carry (4.8) and fourth in rushing expected points added (15.5).On outside zone runs, the 49ers led the league in rushing yards (1,250) and rushing touchdowns (11) while having the second-most carries on such concepts (220). San Francisco led the league in rushing expected points added by a wide margin (21.0) with the team with the second-highest such EPA, the Miami Dolphins, at 7.2.While Shanahan's squad utilizes motion at one of the highest rates in the NFL, so too does Andy Reid's Chiefs (60.5%, fourth-highest rate in the NFL. That means Spagnuolo's defense has plenty of practice against those looks, and the numbers bear that out. The Chiefs allowed 4.9 yards per play against motion, the sixth-fewest in the NFL this season.Screens and yards after catch have also been the 49ers' bread and butter this season because of all of their dynamic playmakers and their yards after catch production detailed above. Purdy led the NFL in yards per pa s attempt on screens (8.8), but Spags' Chiefs allowed the fifth-fewest yards per attempt on screens (4.3). On a related note, San Francisco led the NFL with 28 plays with 20 or more yards after the catch.A few reasons for why Kansas CIty has had so much succe s limiting screens and yards after catch is both scheme and fundamentals. The Chiefs played pre s man coverage, man coverage right up at the line of scrimmage, on 81% of their defensive plays, the second-highest rate in the league. They also rarely mi s tackles, just 10.9% of the time, which is the ninth-lowest rate in the NFL. These qualities translate to Spagnuolo's bunch limiting big plays involving yards after catch. They allowed only six plays with 20 or more yards after the catch this season, the fewest in the entire league.Shanahan's offense revolving around McCaffrey and his intricate run game thrives in part to his team's C.J. Ham Jersey typically elite ability to play from ahead, allowing him to dictate the terms of engagement in terms of what plays he can call, run or pa s. In the regular season, the 49ers time with the lead (11:10:20), was the second-highest in the NFL, trailing only the AFC's one seed, the Baltimore Ravens (11:32:57). That ability abandoned them in the postseason as they have the fewest time leading (27:30) of any team entering a Super Bowl appearance in the 21st Century, since 2000. In the divisional and conference title game round, Shanahan's squad was able to overcome his teams' typical inability to come back. The 49ers ended Shanahan's 0-31 record when down five or more points entering the fourth quarter in their 24-21 win against the Packers. San Francisco also ended Shanahan's streak of being 0-19 when down 17 or more points in the second half in their 34-31 NFC Championship game win versus the .Should the Chiefs go ahead early thanks to some Patrick Mahomes magic, Spags will have the opportunity to dial up his creative blitz packages to get after Purdy, who struggled playing from behind in the regular season and did just enough to get by when playing from behind in the postseason.Brock Purdy tied/trailing in 2nd half this seasonReg Season: 1-4, 57% comp pct, 2-6 TD-INTPostseason: 2-0, 66% comp pct, 1-0 TD-INTThe edge between these two vaunted playcallers likely comes down to which one will be able to dictate the terms of engagement based score, time remaining, etc. With Spagnuolo calling a top tier defense that is complemented by Mahomes and on the other side of the ball, he has the edge over Shanahan entering Sunday's big game.
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